In Brazil there will be more than 329 million connected devices in 2022
When Cisco created its Mobile Visual Networking Index (VNI) prediction index more than a decade ago, mobile (or cellular) traffic represented less than 5% of total IP traffic on global networks. Today, the functionalities of mobile connections and the dependence on them are drastically greater.
Worldwide, there has been an increase in consumer and business access to mobile networks. The expanded reach and higher quality of mobile broadband has generated an equally insatiable demand for communication and media, as well as a wide range of IoT (Internet of Things) mobile applications.
According to this year's forecast update, carried out by Cisco, for the period 2017 to 2022, traffic on mobile networks will be close to reaching the annual rate of 1 zettabyte by the end of the analyzed period. By 2022, mobile traffic will account for nearly 20% of global IP traffic and will reach 930 exabytes per year. This is approximately 113 times more than the global mobile traffic generated ten years earlier, in 2012. In Brazil, mobile traffic will represent 21% of total IP traffic in 2022 in the country. In 2017, he represented 7%.
Mobile technologies continue to connect more people and things than ever before. In 2017, there were 5 billion mobile network users in the world, but in the next five years, that number will increase to 5.7 billion users – which represents about 71% of the global population. In Brazil there will be 177 million mobile users (82% of the Brazilian population) in 2022, against 167 million in 2017.
By 2022, there will be 12 billion more mobile-enabled devices and IoT connections (up from around 9 billion IoT-enabled devices and connections in 2017). By 2022, mobile networks will support more than 8 billion personal mobile devices and 4 billion IoT connections globally.
The updated forecast also anticipates the ongoing efforts of mobile operators around the world to improve the performance of mobile networks. The global average speeds of these networks will more than triple, rising from 8.7 Mbps in 2017 to 28.5 Mbps in 2022. The average speed of the mobile network in Brazil is expected to be 19.7 Mbps in 2022 against the average of 5, 7 Mbps in 2017. Average mobile network speeds vary significantly by geographic location as uptake of 5G begins to intensify in some regions.
top forecasts
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G and LPWA connections:
– Em 2017, globalmente, as redes Low-Power, Wide-area (LPWA) responderam por 1,5% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 2G representou 34% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 3G foi responsável por 30% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; e o 4G, por 35%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M.
– Até 2022, globalmente, as redes LPWA responderão por 14%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 2G representará 8% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 3G será responsável por 20%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 4G, por 54%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; e o 5G será 3% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M (cerca de 422 milhões de conexões 5G globalmente).
– The projection for Brazil is that in 2022, LPWA networks will account for 6.9% of mobile connections; 2G by 7%; 3G by 16.3%; 4G over 68% and 5G over 1.2% from mobile connections.
5G:
– By 2022, 5G connections will account for over 3% of all mobile connections (more than 422 million 5G devices and M2M connections worldwide) and will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic.
– By 2022, the average 5G connection (22GB/month) will generate about three times more traffic than the average 4G connection (8GB/month).
– In Brazil, there will be 4 million 5G connections in 2022, accounting for 4.8% of mobile traffic.
Wi-Fi: Offloading traffic from Mobile Networks (Cellular) to Fixed Networks (Wi-Fi)
– In 2017, monthly traffic offload (13 EB) exceeded monthly mobile/cellular traffic (12 EB).
– In 2017, 54% of total mobile data traffic was offloaded; by 2022, 59% total mobile data traffic will be offloaded. In Brazil, offload traffic will represent 51% of the mobile network in 2022 (in 2017 it was 49%)
– Total global IP traffic in 2017 (fixed & mobile): 48% wired, 43% Wi-Fi, 9% mobile.
– Total global IP traffic in 2022 (fixed & mobile): 29% wired, 51% WiFi, 20% mobile.
– Globally, the total number of Wi-Fi hotspots (including residential) will quadruple between 2017 (124 million) and 2022 (549 million). The growth in Brazil will be 9 times – from 2 million in 2017 to 18 million in 2022.
“Cisco is committed to helping operators meet the growing demand for broadband from consumers and business users of the mobile Internet, as well as the variety of IoT applications. With the growth of mobile traffic, we believe that 5G and Wi-Fi will coexist as necessary and complementary access technologies, offering great competitive advantage for our business customers and operators”, highlights Giuseppe Marrara, Director of Public Policy at Cisco Brazil. .
Cisco Mobile VNI Forecast
Cisco Mobile VNI™Forecast includes global, regional, and national projections and trends related to mobile (2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G) and radio networks. The full report includes additional insights and analysis on mobile traffic growth, mobile devices/connections, mobile IoT by various industries, mobile IPv6 adoption, mobile network performance, offload of cellular devices/connections to Wi-Fi, and pricing mobile internet (unlimited and shared plans).
Cisco Mobile VNI Methodology
The full Cisco VNI™ report with forecasts for the period 2017 to 2022 is based on forecasts made by independent analysts and actual data on network utilization. From this base, Cisco makes its own estimates of IP traffic and network service take-up in the world. The full report contains a detailed description of the methodology. In its 13-year history, Cisco®VNI research has become a highly regarded metric of Internet growth. National governments, regulatory agencies, academic researchers, telecommunications companies, technology experts, the targeted press and industry analysts use the annual study to help them plan for the digital future.
Worldwide, there has been an increase in consumer and business access to mobile networks. The expanded reach and higher quality of mobile broadband has generated an equally insatiable demand for communication and media, as well as a wide range of IoT (Internet of Things) mobile applications.
According to this year's forecast update, carried out by Cisco, for the period 2017 to 2022, traffic on mobile networks will be close to reaching the annual rate of 1 zettabyte by the end of the analyzed period. By 2022, mobile traffic will account for nearly 20% of global IP traffic and will reach 930 exabytes per year. This is approximately 113 times more than the global mobile traffic generated ten years earlier, in 2012. In Brazil, mobile traffic will represent 21% of total IP traffic in 2022 in the country. In 2017, he represented 7%.
Mobile technologies continue to connect more people and things than ever before. In 2017, there were 5 billion mobile network users in the world, but in the next five years, that number will increase to 5.7 billion users – which represents about 71% of the global population. In Brazil there will be 177 million mobile users (82% of the Brazilian population) in 2022, against 167 million in 2017.
By 2022, there will be 12 billion more mobile-enabled devices and IoT connections (up from around 9 billion IoT-enabled devices and connections in 2017). By 2022, mobile networks will support more than 8 billion personal mobile devices and 4 billion IoT connections globally.
The updated forecast also anticipates the ongoing efforts of mobile operators around the world to improve the performance of mobile networks. The global average speeds of these networks will more than triple, rising from 8.7 Mbps in 2017 to 28.5 Mbps in 2022. The average speed of the mobile network in Brazil is expected to be 19.7 Mbps in 2022 against the average of 5, 7 Mbps in 2017. Average mobile network speeds vary significantly by geographic location as uptake of 5G begins to intensify in some regions.
top forecasts
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G and LPWA connections:
– Em 2017, globalmente, as redes Low-Power, Wide-area (LPWA) responderam por 1,5% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 2G representou 34% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 3G foi responsável por 30% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; e o 4G, por 35%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M.
– Até 2022, globalmente, as redes LPWA responderão por 14%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 2G representará 8% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 3G será responsável por 20%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; o 4G, por 54%das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M; e o 5G será 3% das conexões em dispositivos móveis/M2M (cerca de 422 milhões de conexões 5G globalmente).
– The projection for Brazil is that in 2022, LPWA networks will account for 6.9% of mobile connections; 2G by 7%; 3G by 16.3%; 4G over 68% and 5G over 1.2% from mobile connections.
5G:
– By 2022, 5G connections will account for over 3% of all mobile connections (more than 422 million 5G devices and M2M connections worldwide) and will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic.
– By 2022, the average 5G connection (22GB/month) will generate about three times more traffic than the average 4G connection (8GB/month).
– In Brazil, there will be 4 million 5G connections in 2022, accounting for 4.8% of mobile traffic.
Wi-Fi: Offloading traffic from Mobile Networks (Cellular) to Fixed Networks (Wi-Fi)
– In 2017, monthly traffic offload (13 EB) exceeded monthly mobile/cellular traffic (12 EB).
– In 2017, 54% of total mobile data traffic was offloaded; by 2022, 59% total mobile data traffic will be offloaded. In Brazil, offload traffic will represent 51% of the mobile network in 2022 (in 2017 it was 49%)
– Total global IP traffic in 2017 (fixed & mobile): 48% wired, 43% Wi-Fi, 9% mobile.
– Total global IP traffic in 2022 (fixed & mobile): 29% wired, 51% WiFi, 20% mobile.
– Globally, the total number of Wi-Fi hotspots (including residential) will quadruple between 2017 (124 million) and 2022 (549 million). The growth in Brazil will be 9 times – from 2 million in 2017 to 18 million in 2022.
“Cisco is committed to helping operators meet the growing demand for broadband from consumers and business users of the mobile Internet, as well as the variety of IoT applications. With the growth of mobile traffic, we believe that 5G and Wi-Fi will coexist as necessary and complementary access technologies, offering great competitive advantage for our business customers and operators”, highlights Giuseppe Marrara, Director of Public Policy at Cisco Brazil. .
Cisco Mobile VNI Forecast
Cisco Mobile VNI™Forecast includes global, regional, and national projections and trends related to mobile (2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G) and radio networks. The full report includes additional insights and analysis on mobile traffic growth, mobile devices/connections, mobile IoT by various industries, mobile IPv6 adoption, mobile network performance, offload of cellular devices/connections to Wi-Fi, and pricing mobile internet (unlimited and shared plans).
Cisco Mobile VNI Methodology
The full Cisco VNI™ report with forecasts for the period 2017 to 2022 is based on forecasts made by independent analysts and actual data on network utilization. From this base, Cisco makes its own estimates of IP traffic and network service take-up in the world. The full report contains a detailed description of the methodology. In its 13-year history, Cisco®VNI research has become a highly regarded metric of Internet growth. National governments, regulatory agencies, academic researchers, telecommunications companies, technology experts, the targeted press and industry analysts use the annual study to help them plan for the digital future.
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