By Antonio Carlos Brito, Senior Senior, Digital and Value Engineering at Infor in Brazil
The year starts with good prospects in the IT Industry, which is experiencing a proliferation of disruptive technologies, which in recent years have become a driving force for new businesses. Gartner estimates indicate that global information technology spending will reach US $ 1.72 trillion in 2019, an increase of 3.21 trillion in 2018 compared to 2018. Among the innovations that lead the “most desired ranking”, we can mention Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Internet of Things. All of these have significant impacts on the creation of digital ecosystems, but we must look carefully at the explosion of connected objects and try to discover what the future holds for IoT.
In 2022, we will have 20 billion devices connected to the internet. This expansion, according to analyzes by Gartner and IDC, will be the result of an increasing adoption by consumers (smartwatches, sensors and domestic actuators for environmental comfort, safety and appliances) and also by businesses of the most different shades (centers manufacturing systems that issue maintenance alerts, equipment synchronized in a supply chain, georeferencing and geofencing) and in the public sector (smart cities, traffic lights, intelligent lighting, public transport, flood control, electricity, gas, water distribution, and collection garbage and sewage). The IDC predicts an annual growth of 13.6% until 2022, when the IoT market will reach US$ 1.2 trillion.
Despite the innumerable perspectives and latent optimism, the current legislation does not cover all the flaws in the model and there is concern that we may be experiencing an “IoT bubble”: very optimistic growth, poorly regulated, without the basis for perennial stabilization.
Security concerns
An IoT device generates hundreds of data every second, forming a real flood of events in today's networks. Network latency, that is, the delay in sending data from one designated point to another, requires data to be processed, aggregated and analyzed close to the sensors. Today there are relatively few standardized authorization and authentication protocols for devices, as well as clear rules for equipment maintenance and replacement. As it is, the network presents risks: what if they start spying or “draining” out of this sea of unprotected data? Nobody wants data, in its purest state, to be diverted to other purposes, just as we do not want attackers to take care of our equipment.
In Brazil, in 2017, the Center for Studies, Responses and Treatment of Security Incidents in Brazil (CERT.br) received 830 thousand notifications of cyber attacks, 220 thousand of which were reported from Internet of Things devices infected with called botnets. Another important aspect is the threat to privacy. With sensors monitoring the life of all equipment, mobile devices, thermostats and food dispensing machines, how can you prevent your tastes, preferences and habits from being equally monitored? We could create a vicious cycle: the more experiences we experience or products we consume, the more of these items will be offered to us?
And the future?
Growth will continue to be staggering, in double digits, for some decades to come. Today's networks will prove to be small to support the connection of so many devices. There is the potential for creating markets in the coming years supported by this technology. There will be a search for greater standardization of authentication, authorization, maintenance and component replacement protocols. It is possible that we will have to find specific uses of artificial intelligence applied to IoT networks suggesting changes and cleaning of sensors, for example. Legislation must undergo changes to organize the market and make it attractive and lasting.
We don't need another bubble: we can develop this market on solid foundations, safely and with benefits for all its members.
Disclaimer: The opinion presented in this article is the responsibility of its author and not of ABES - Brazilian Association of Software Companies